Market Opens Lower on AAPL and Earnings news
July 22, 2008 | Leave a Comment
Once again AAPL beats estimates but is conservative with its estimates. We’ve seen this song and dance with AAPL since the early 2000s where the company guides conservatively only to beat those estimates next quarter. Monday night’s release showed that playing earnings can be very dangerous. Use history, more importantly use CAN SLIM developed by William O’Neil. He has taught us that the big money is made during fresh bull markets. Unfortunately, we do not have a new bull market…yet! Time to continue studying Josh’s past big winners, cash heavy, and keep our losses small!
Aloha
Big Cap Technology Stocks Hold Back Stock Gains
July 19, 2008 | Leave a Comment
After the bell Thursday MSFT and GOOG missed expectations sending both stocks lower after hours. Come Friday little had changed as these two gigantic technology stocks weighed heavily on the NASDAQ. AAPL joined the fun and ended lower on slightly higher volume. Options expiry failed to inspire volume to rise, it certainly gave the impression traders were simply not around for the trading session. Stocks finished off their lows on lower trade and was a quiet day overall for the entire market.
At Big Wave Trading, we feel this market is not our new bull market. With that said, we are finding some stocks that are setting up nicely and starting to present opportunities to make money. In the grand scheme of things we aren’t in an environment where we are going to grab our 1000%+ winners. Therefore, we are keeping our cash levels high and, new trades small, taking profits quickly, and (THE MOST IMPORTANT THING) cutting our losses (keeping them small).
We continue to see market pundits believe we have bottomed in financials. However, this was stated back in September ‘07, Jan. ‘08, March ‘08, and again now. When will we bottom? Here at Big Wave Trading we only care when we know our new bull market is here. At the moment the VIX, VXN, NH to NL ratio, and lack of a follow through day tell us we are not there yet. The real big tell is that we are not seeing as many stocks come through our market scan as we would normally see in a bull market. Stocks simply aren’t ready to make a giant leap forward. Until they do, we’ll be cash heavy read to pounce on the new opportunities.
Notes For Monday’s Stock Market Session
April 27, 2008 | Leave a Comment
-The IBD 100 is up 228.5% compared to SP 500’s 49.5% since 4/18/08
-IBD 85-85 and IBD 100 were down for the week (-.9% compared to Nassy .8%) but they were up over 2.5% on Friday compared to Nassy down .2%.
-This appears to be rotation of some sorts out of commodities into some new sectors
-Internet-Network Solutions up 9% this week
-Computer Software-Design up 5% this week
-These industries however are being led by the usual laggards BIDU and AAPL.
-Strongest Semi stocks: PMCS MCRL VLTR FSLR CRUS JASO SMTX POWI IVAC JST LSCC SMTC AXYS
-Impressive food stocks: FDP SDA — I am long both
-Nasdaq has an A for acc/dis NYSE B SP 500 B+ IBD 85-85 C+
Members Discuss with MauiTrader about their gains and the state of the Market
January 4, 2008 | 1 Comment
Today marked an interesting day for the Markets. Some Platinum members expressed how happy they are with the Big Wave Trading service today in MauiTrader’s Lounge. This snip-bit from today’s conversation shows you that we are serious yet have the ability to have a bit of fun. We are heading into bear territory with the market, its been a slow rolling death since the high at the end of October. Check out the conversation!
Big-Cap Tech Selloff Hits Nasdaq With Another Large Distribution Day; Pharmaceuticals And Drugs Hold-Up DJIA.
January 19, 2007 | Leave a Comment
Stocks on the Nasdaq simply got nailed today, as a weak outlook by AAPL followed by two downgrades hit the stock with a 6% loss. This along with a weak profit outlook from LRCX with a downgrade simply was too much for the small-cap and tech indexes to handle.
At the close, the Nasdaq fell 1.5%, the SP 600 lost 1.1% and closed below its 50 dma, the SP 500 fell .3%, and the DJIA held like the champ it has been with a minimal .07% loss. Read more
Stock Market Indexes Take Off After An Early Choppy Session, Closing Near The Highs Of The Session
January 11, 2007 | Leave a Comment
A day of minor volatility gave way to a nice rally after 1pm EST sending all the indexes in a nice solid uptrend into the close. The possible reason for the rally was a left-over feel good effect off the AAPL news in combination with another drop in crude oil. Today’s 3% drop now brings the yearly damage to 12% for crude.
At the close, the Nasdaq led the way with a .6% gain, the DJIA and the SP 500 followed with a .2% gain, and the SP 600 lagged with a .01% gain. The big winners were the IBD 85-85 and IBD 100 indexes which gained .7% and .9% respectively and the Nasdaq 100 which gained 1.1%. This was the sixth day in a row the Nasdaq and the Nasdaq 100 staged very strong intraday reversals. One look at the daily charts and all those tails shows that any selloff is being bought.
Stocks End Mixed On Heavy Volume; Churning?
January 9, 2007 | Leave a Comment
On a day where a strong IBD/TIPP poll shows that investors are gaining confidence and AAPL releases the new iPhone and Apple TV, stocks decided to churn one in today. The only exciting action came in the SP 600 which turned a 1.1% loss into a gain by the end of the day.
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