Joshua Hayes Big Wave Trading

 

Another Perfect Day For Our Longs, Especially Our “PERFECT” Long; Never Short A Dull Market

May 12, 2008 | Leave a Comment

So far things are looking good and unless we close at the LOD and wipe out all of the gains I will be very happy. My charts continue to look well as some of my largest positions (9 of them) are up HUGE today making today a great day after two days in the country/jungle. what a great way to start the week. The only thing I will be watching closely is the close and volume. I want volume higher by the EOD and I want us to close strong or if not strong to make it a perfect day, at least not at the LOD.

Also another lesson of NEVER chasing is today in GENC. I have been taking profits on the way up and if you have been following all my sells in the forums you will see that I was already out of 40% of it before today’s decline. Even after the swoon today, we still have a gain in it. Also, do not sell it intraday. The chances are much higher with it being down this much that it will have a strong rally before the EOD. Even if it doesn’t, it doesn’t matter, the stock is a full sell and we still walk away with a profit on the full 100% with me already being out of nearly-half when the stock was between a30% and 60% gain.

Our leaders are doing well and remember if you own a stock up 20% or more in less than two weeks (which we have had a few quick monsters), you need to hold them at LEAST eight weeks.

How About Our Recent Longs!!!!

May 6, 2008 | 3 Comments

Once again, another day, and another new long up over 10% off the bat!!! This market is definitely a market to be long. Another few GREAT longs, AGAIN, today to take tomorrow. The way things look, this market should be blasting off to the moon soon.

What a month it has been!!! One month has taken care of six previous months of lame returns. This market is no ka oi!!!

NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) — A new poll shows that more Americans than ever before think the economy is in a recession.

A national CNN/Opinion Research Corp. poll released Tuesday found that 79% of respondents - nearly 4 out of 5 - believe the economy is now in a recession. That is up from 74% of Americans in March, 66% in February and 46% just a half-year back.

The poll results came from telephone interviews with 1,008 adult Americans conducted by telephone on April 28-30.

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What Has Changed? Nothing

March 18, 2008 | 1 Comment

Do I have a few nice longs in my scans? Yes. But these longs are of stocks that I am already long and even though it is really nice to be able to add to some winners that you are long, I am still wondering where the perfect charts are? Oh well. I am long 49 great stocks and they all had a great day today including two that DEFINITELY needed to be added to.

But where is the volume on this huge move? Didn’t we just go through this seven days ago. This is so silly and remember those that brag that they caught this bottom are doing so after missing the other 6 bottoms that they called. So a little bit of perspective is in order.

The biggest issue is volume. How can you be up 4% on the Nassy and have volume below the 50 day volume average? I’ll tell you how. You create a massive bear market short-covering rally. That is what we got.

Low Volume Rally Runs Right Into Major Resistance: THE FED!; Stocks Selloff On Higher Volume Possibly Ending This Recent Rally

December 11, 2007 | Leave a Comment

What more can you say but WOW!? There is no doubt in my mind that this was one of the worst intraday selloffs I have ever seen in my trading life. Now, I am sure I probably have seen one this nasty before. In fact, in all honesty, I know I have. But it hasn’t been since at least 2000-2002. Since then, I know we have never seen anything like this so late in a day destroying the market like this.

Since I focus on individual charts more than I do to any of the talking heads on the web or TV, I can manage to fight through all the confusion. However, this has been a market that has definitely not helped me out at all. My charts are basically worthless to me, right now. Sadly, this year has seen nothing but disappointments left and right by HOT HOT HOT stocks with great charts. Even when those chart patterns had powerful fundamentals driving the price higher it seemed after the perfect buy signal was given that it would fail.

Recently, despite the low volume, the market has produced some nice charts, making some (including myself) believe that this rally could last longer than expected. However, today put an end to all of that thought. Most hot stocks also felt the wrath of the market today as everything I owned seemed to pullback.

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Stocks Finish Higher Across The Board But Suffer A Late-Day Selloff; Lower Volume Shows Institutions Are Not Interested

March 9, 2007 | Leave a Comment

My girlfriends parents arrived on Maui, today, so I spent all day with the family. Therefore, I was not around at all after the closing bell.

However, I have reviewed my charts and can honestly say that nothing has changed. The gap up this morning and steady drift all day gave way to a selloff sometime after 2pm EST. That was a pretty nasty selloff and that has now happened for the third day in a row. Combine that with the lower volume and you have another technical negative. This bounce should see some volume if it is going to have any staying power. Read more

Stocks Stage An Impressive Reversal Off The Morning Lows; Stock Indexes Close Red, Across The Board

March 2, 2007 | Leave a Comment

Stocks started off the day with a nasty replay of the action on Tuesday. However, stocks found support shortly after and managed to rally to a respectable close, helping rescue trapped longs. Early weakness caused by a selloff in Asian and European markets (China down 2.8%) and inflation worries quickly sent stocks for a loop. The core personal consumption price expenditure index rose .3%, giving it a year over year increase of 2.3%. That is ahead of the Fed’s target 1-2%. But shortly after that nasty gap down, the ISM manufacturing index came in with a 52.3 reading, above the neutral 50 level. This and a heavy round of short-covering sent the indexes higher and even sent them into the green. But in the final hour, sellers reasserted control, ending the hopeful wishes of a green close by the bulls. Read more

Stocks Reverse Ugly First-Hour Selloff, As Leading & Small Cap Stocks Lead The Way; Bulls Are In Full Control

February 20, 2007 | Leave a Comment

Early losses soon turned into gains, after a long three-day weekend, as investors bid stocks up on the back of plenty of good news. News of a deal between SIRI and XMSR, VMC acquiring FRK, Oil dropping 2.2%, and positive comments from Fed gov. Susan Blies was just what the market wanted to hear, as stocks closed at all-time and multi-year highs. Read more

Leading Stocks And Small Caps Lead As Stocks Rise Again; SP 600, NYSE, And DJIA All Hit All-Time Highs

February 1, 2007 | Leave a Comment

Stocks continued to do what they have been doing all week and that is gain ground in the face of the ever growing loud bears. Even with GOOG and DELL trying to knock the market down, the market just keeps on rolling. Yes, I am also hearing a lot of bullish talk but trust me I monitor a lot of message boards and chat rooms–there are plenty of top callers out there. As long as they exist this market just keeps rallying in their face. All-time highs in three indexes doesn’t even seem to shut them up. But what else should I expect? Read more

Stocks Show Why It Is Silly To Short The Market Before A Clear Downtrend Is In Place.

January 24, 2007 | Leave a Comment

A lot of good earnings helped the market shake off some recent selling as stocks rose across the board with leaders leading the way.

At the close, the Nasdaq led the way with a 1.4% gain as the index reclaimed its 50 dma, the SP 600 followed with a 1% gain, the SP 500 was up .85%, and the DJIA put in a very solid .7% gain. Leading stocks were the clear winners, with the IBD 100 up 1.6%. Big cap tech was the best on the day, however, as the Nasdaq 100 rallied 1.65%. Read more

Stocks Fall Hard But Find Support Around Mid-Day; Lower Volume Prevents Another Distribution Day.

January 22, 2007 | Leave a Comment

Stocks started the day off rough and only got worse as the LEI was delayed. The delay helped the selloff pick up steam and stocks quickly dropped to their low’s on the day. However, like usual, buyers stepped in to help support a declining market. However, by the close, their buying could not prop the indexes back into positive ground. Read more

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